The founder of a NYC-based PR firm asserted to me in a conversation yesterday that Kerry would crush Bush, and that the crush has begun with the cultural forces unleashed by Fahrenheit 9/11 and President Clinton's book tour.
I hope he's right. But, I'm quite skeptical, and think he misunderstands how urban and regional (i.e. isolated) the effects of the movie and book could be.
Here are some key GOP campaign initiatives Kerry's team will have to actively counter:
*An unprecedented door-to-door campaign to get out the vote. This includes everything from block parties (organized via the Internet) to organizing the logistical infrastructure to transport people to voting places. (Elizabeth Drew, "Bush: The Dream Campaign." The New York Review of Books. June 10, 2004. p. 24)
*Asking corporations of all types to encourage their white-collar workers and shareholders to vote. The assumption here is that at least 70% of them will vote Republican.
*Asking evangelical churches and Mormon temples to encourage their members to vote. The Left obviously lacks institutions like the nation's evangelical churches, which provide the Right thousands of captive audiences, assembled weekly, ready-made for obedience to their preacher's admonitions.
*Setting up a system by which U.S. businessmen abroad can register and get an absentee ballot by computer.
*Ditto a registration and ballot system for our troops, who are exposed to only one political talk-show and, perhaps, thus more inclined to vote for Bush. Rush Limbaugh is on Armed Forces Radio for an hour each weeknight. Limbaugh's in the only political or news talk-show on the station. (This is a horrible abuse of power by conservatives.)