On the Iowa caucuses and the two winners: Democrats (and a lot of Independents liked Obama. Republicans and especially conservative evangelicals among them liked Huckabee.
I tried to write a post summarizing that despite Huckabee's relative ignorance about foreign policy (or science), disdain for gay Americans, and sometimes happy anti-intellectualism, Huckabee is an insurgent* within the GOP and is honest about helping the poor; but, I couldn't do the subject justice given time constraints. So, I recommend Mike Madden's take on Salon.
I also tried to imagine a General Election match-up between Huckabee and Obama, noting the extreme contrasts it would represent, even at the level of basic facts that might give Civil War historians a chuckle: a Baptist white preacher and governor from the South or a maybe-black-but-not-white legislator and senator from Illinois. There's also their contrasting styles of public commenting. Media personalities last night on the cable news channels drew comparisons between Huckabee and Jimmy Stewart and Obama and RFK. When I re-read my draft of the Huckabee and Obama match-up, it read mostly like a Huckabee hit-piece that it wasn't intended to be. (I'm seriously ready for him to fade though.... I am so tired of Americans picking candidates based on theology and of candidates exhibiting over-the-top folksiness.)
Another contrast I wanted to explore is simply that Huckabee thinks Bush should have used more soldiers when invading Iraq (true from a strictly military point of view), and Obama thinks Bush should not have invaded Iraq at all (true from many points of view). Both candidates are of course fond of biblical allusions, but Huckabee prefers verses about the individual, war, champions, and righteousness, Obama--almost certainly inspired by the Civil Rights movement--verses about liberation.
I clearly prefer Obama by orders of magnitude over Huckabee. But I'm not being entirely unfair in my analysis. I think it would be hard to argue against the simple proposition that Huckabee would be more of a flawed choice for the GOP and the republic than would be Obama for the Democrats or the republic.
But that's not to suggest that Obama is anything like perfect. I'll defer to Walter Shapiro on Salon for more. Would Obama be any more experienced and ready than Huckabee for the world stage? Was JFK at this point in his campaign? Certainly G. W. Bush wasn't sufficiently experienced or ready, yet he won anyway, and in the case of his presidency certainly, the republic's paid a steep price morally, militarily, and financially for this deference to the neocon crowd.
But as a friend said last night after Obama's speech, "The writing is close to the wall." Obama has made a massive difference to this election cycle even if he doesn't win another single state. For me, that prompted this quote:
Let's see if Obama will be allowed to have at least a chance to carry a new light into the halls of the White House. JFK was asked to do the same, and--as most Americans tend to forget--he largely failed to live up to expectations, at least at first, finding that one can be placed on a pedestal from which governance becomes additionally complicated. Obama's not perfect. Neither is he the most liberal, most conservative, most experienced, or most accomplished candidate.
But he may well be the most emotionally satisfying one, the most likely to energize record numbers of first-time voters and inspire as a candidate.
*Updated with a link to a frontpage post on dKos regarding Huckabee's campaign as a people-powered movement against the GOP establishment.